Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Chicago State (13-41) | 2 | 3 | +7.0 | 27% | ✔ | 1 | +9.0 | 11% | ✔ | |
| Grand Canyon (33-24) | 3 | 10 | -7.0 | 73% | 10 | -9.0 | 89% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Seattle University (32-23) | 6 | 5 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 4 | +3.5 | 31% | ✔ | |
| New Mexico State (39-22) | 12 | 8 | -3.0 | 61% | 7 | -3.5 | 69% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Sacramento State (35-25) | 2 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | ✔ | 6 | -2.0 | 62% | ✔ | |
| Utah (16-39) | 1 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | 4 | +2.0 | 38% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Northern Colorado (24-23) | 8 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | ✔ | 7 | -2.5 | 66% | ✔ | |
| Utah Valley (15-37) | 4 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 4 | +2.5 | 34% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
| Cal State Bakersfield (21-36) | 8 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 49% | ✘ | |
| UTRGV (23-31) | 5 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 5 | -0.5 | 51% | |||
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 80%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 80%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 80%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 80%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.